Should we trade Clayton Oliver? Who could get tagged next? How many trades should I have left? The Phantom answers the big Round 18 KFC SuperCoach questions.
Clayton Oliver’s finger injury aside, it was a relatively incident-free weekend of KFC SuperCoach.
Sure, the taggers were back at it again – and it didn’t end very Caldwell for some – but there was no Tom Stewart-style suspension, an injured ruckman or an Aaron Hall soft-tissue problem.
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Ah, Phant, Covid is still here…
Hmm. Yes, it is – and it was the Lions who took a big hit, forced into making five H&S protocol changes for the Round 17 clash with the Bombers.
“We could lose a few more, to be honest,” Lions football boss Danny Daly said of the outbreak which has reached 22 on Monday.
Insert grimacing face emoji here.
We’re not saying it will be Lachie Neale this week but, that’s the thing, we don’t know what will happened in the final six weeks.
But it is the middle of winter, and cases are increasing across the country.
Stay strong, and keep those last few trades up your sleeve.
The second-ranked KFC SuperCoach in the world is trying to hang on with zero trades remaining – he’s been climbing in recent weeks, too.
So you’re not alone if you’ve used all of yours. But six weeks is a long time.
Oliver might be out in Round 18 and he hasn’t missed a game through injury since his debut season of 2016.
Anything can happen.
It’s why, again, it’s probably still too early for that luxury upgrade. Trust me, I want more than 92 (Patrick Cripps) and 50 (Tom Green) from my last two midfielders, too.
So, keep Oliver?
I think so, yes. The Dees haven’t even ruled him out of Sunday’s game against Port Adelaide. At worst, he misses this week.
TRADE GUIDE: WHAT THE LATEST ROUND OF POSITION CHANGES MEAN
What about if I have no cover?
This is a more difficult question. If you have four or more trades remaining, then I’d look at covering the donut by trading Oliver.
As the most expensive player in KFC SuperCoach, one trade is all you will need.
Ask yourself this, though – how much will the replacement outscore Oliver by from here?
On average, Oliver would make up 11 points per game in the final five weeks on Callum Mills, the fifth-highest-averaging midfielder in the game.
So even if Mills scores 110 this weekend, the difference between copping a donut and trading Oliver could be 55 points.
Sure, Mills could bang out another double-ton in Round 18, but you get what I am saying.
I would take the donut, if it was your last trade.
I would do the same if you are just focused on your leagues – unless, of course, it’s do-or-die this week.
I have cover but I have 6 trades left?
Well, look at you. Nice work.
In that position, then, yes, I’d look at every opportunity to make up ground.
Unlike those with one or two remaining, you are unlikely to lose the ground you make up when you can’t cover a premium who misses multiple rounds in the run home.
Who should I pick then?
Mills is the only one of the top-five KFC SuperCoach midfielders priced at less than $600k. At $575k, he’s great buying ahead of Round 18.
Sure, Horse likes to throw him around from time to time – *rolls eyes* – but his 138 points against the Bulldogs was his seventh score of 130 or more this season.
And the Swans still have Adelaide, GWS and North Melbourne to play in the run home.
Seeing as you have trades to use, Oliver to Mills also gives you a handy $150k to use on that luxury move or save for that looming rainy day. And he’s still in less than 19 per cent of teams.
I like Mills as the best luxury upgrade target for KFC SuperCoaches in a different situation, too.
St Kilda skipper Jack Steele is great value, too, at $549k but back-to-back scores of less than 110 puts him behind the top-tier guys in the past fortnight, anyway.
What about an M9/F7 trade?
This is also an avenue you should definitely explore, if you have the trades.
I wrote about Patrick Dangerfield last week and, at $438k, following a 114-point performance – a KFC SuperCoach ton which could’ve been much bigger if he didn’t kick four behinds – against the Demons, he’s still great value.
After scoring 96 in just 62 per cent game-time against the Kangaroos on return from injury, Dangerfield was on the field for 79 per cent of the Round 17 win.
The Cats play three of the last four home-and-away matches at home, against the Dogs, Saints and Eagles, and we know Dangerfield at his best can go as big as any player in the competition.
If you like the idea of dual-position ‘premium’ cover on the bench, Giant Tim Taranto is another we spoke about last week. And he didn’t let us down, tallying 23 disposals, 13 contested possessions, seven tackles and 109 KFC SuperCoach points in the big loss to the Power.
He’s still available for $441k.
Phant, did you see Tom Green’s game that night?
Unfortunately, yes. I don’t think I’ve seen him perform any worse – he was clumsy with, and without, the ball and nothing went his way.
Green is another luxury trade I would make if I wasn’t down to two.
Next year, though.
Back to taggers, which of my players should I be worried about next?
Well, Horse Longmire likes to use Ryan Clarke on the opposition’s playmaking defender so, if Clarke stays in the side, Jordan Dawson (Round 19), Aaron Hall (Round 21) and Jack Sinclair (Round 23) again would have to be in his sights. Or does Clarke go into the midfield this week in attempt to quell the influence of Docker Andy Brayshaw? I’m just thinking out loud.
Over at the Bombers, Jye Caldwell stepped into the role with huge success, restricting Brownlow Medallist Lachie Neale on Sunday. Sorry to bring it up, again.
Essendon plays Gold Coast (Touk Miller), GWS (Stephen Coniglio) and Port Adelaide (Connor Rozee) in the run home, teams with in-form game-breakers through the midfield.
Last one, what does David Noble’s departure mean for KFC SuperCoach?
Well Noble had nothing to do with the strength of Aaron Hall’s leg muscles, so probably not a lot.
It will be interesting to see where skipper Jack Ziebell lines up under stand-in coach Leigh Adams, while a heavily-discounted Tarryn Thomas might get his chance again.
Go, Jed Anderson.
Originally published as KFC SuperCoach 2022: The Phantom’s burning questions and Round 18 trade advice